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Dec 7, 2021Liked by B Delany

I really appreciate that you did all the work to put this together. But there's an issue. We already know that younger patients are going to have milder cases. This was true with Delta; there's no reason to believe that it won't be true with Omicron. South Africa has a very young population (average age 26.) There's no reason why we would expect to see more severe cases in these much younger people. We'd also expect to see vaccine protection against severe outcome. It all says nothing about whether the virus itself has become intrinsically milder or not. That's something that we simply don't yet know.

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